My Views of what will happen in 2014 elections - Part 1

Let me start with the state of the possible PM Candidate

Gujarat

Total Lok Sabha Seats - 26

With Modi being projected as a possible PM Candidate, it should be pretty easy for him to sweep the state. Add to it the issue of no strong leader in Congress to take him on, it should be like 20+ seats out of the 26 in Gujarat for the BJP.

My prediction
BJP - 20
Congress - 6

Maharashtra

Total Lok Sabha Seats - 48

One of the key states with 48 seats. Strongly believe the BJP/Shiv Sena combine don't have their act together so Congress/NCP combo will win around 30 seats. What can tilt the stakes will be in Raj Thackeray joins the BJP/Shiv Sena combo that will make it a closer contest

My prediction
BJP/Shiv Sena - 16
Congress - 30
MNS - 2

Madhya Pradesh

Total Lok Sabha Seats - 29

Another state where the two major parties will be fighting each other. Shivraj Chauhan who also harbors dream of becoming the PM if Narendra Modi is not acceptable to all, is doing a good job and will win around 18-20 seats. Shivraj Chauhan is very smart in not going to town with his huge ambitions, but is playing his cards well.

My prediction
BJP - 19
Congress - 10

Rajasthan

Total Lok Sabha Seats - 25

Another state which is fought between the two leading parties. This should be a close fought states and will be a 50-50% between BJP & Congress. Assembly Election results will have an impact, whoever wins the assembly will have an upper hand in the Lok Sabha elections also.

My prediction
BJP - 12
Congress - 13

Delhi

Total Lok Sabha Seats - 7

Straight fight between Congress and BJP, congress will have an upper hand in the assembly elections also.

My prediction
BJP - 2
Congress - 5

Total for Part 1

BJP - 69
Congress - 64
MNS - 2

In all the head to head states looks like BJP will be doing better. Will come back with next part shortly.